White Hats: Montana Balloon Was Deep State, not Chinese

FOOD FOR THOUGHT, BRETHREN. In these end days, anything is possible and this does make sense.

From realrawnews.com

The reason the regime hasn’t shot down (see edit at bottom) a “Chinese spy balloon” in U.S. airspace is that the silvery object seen hovering above Montana is actually a Deep State surveillance balloon that has been spying on patriotic militia groups, a source in General Eric M. Smith’s office told Real Raw News.

Yesterday, the MSM was awash with tales of a high-altitude balloon that purportedly flew over Alaska’s Aleutian Islands, through Canada, and into Montana, a deeply Republican state and home to a rapidly dwindling militia that the Biden regime has long sought to eradicate. After news of the balloon hit the airwaves, Deep Staters Lloyd Austin and Gen. Mark Milley announced they had considered downing the Chinese dirigible, but opted not to because debris could have injured persons or damaged property.

Gen. Smith’s office challenged the official narrative, saying Austin and Milley had no intention of firing at the balloon because it’s theirs, not China’s, and they and the regime launched the device to clandestinely keep tabs on a militia movement currently engaged in perfectly legal training exercises in central Montana.

“The balloon’s flight path is different than what’s been said publicly. It didn’t enter the U.S. from Canada. It was launched from Fairchild AFB in Washington and moved under its own power to Montana. It has an electric prop and is remote-controlled, like a drone,” our source said.

Asked how White Hats derived their conclusion, he said a confidential source at Deep State-controlled Fairchild AFB witnessed the launch but had no knowledge of the mission. Moreover, the balloon came to a dead stop south of Roundup, Montana, and loitered motionless for several hours, made possible by solar-powered turboprops powerful enough to neutralize motion relative to the prevailing winds.

Miles below, several hundred members of the Montana and Wyoming militias were involved in a joint wintertime training exercise, clueless that they were being surveilled. The maneuvers are moved to various locations annually because pernicious feds have adeptly infiltrated nearly every militia in the country.

Our source said the Montana and Wyoming militias have many former armed forces members still loyal to President Trump, including a relative of Gen. Smith.

The Deep State, he added, has technology that can count the number of hairs on a person’s mustache from the stratosphere and stream that data back to an operator in real-time.

“If we could do it, they can too,” our source said.

Asked why White Hats didn’t avail themselves of the opportunity to destroy the balloon, he said, “The whistleblower at Fairchild, for whatever reason, didn’t share intel with us until news went public. Also, we didn’t have assets in the area. And like I said, it was probably live streamed right back to Fairchild, so not sure what good it would’ve done. We would’ve knocked it out of the sky if it had overflown our command centers.”

We further asked why the Deep State used a balloon when it could have used a satellite.

“They no longer have access to them,” he said but would not expound on his response.

If White Hats now control the nation’s KH-11 surveillance satellites, it’s a new development; several months ago, Gen. Smith’s office admitted that spy satellites were under Deep State control.

Finally, we asked whether White Hats notified the Montana and Wyoming militias.

“They’ve been made aware,” was all our source would say.

Update: Friday evening, Tyler Perry Studios White House Spokesdemon Karine Jean-Pierre said the regime received word from Beijing that the balloon was studying atmospheric conditions when it blew off course—by 6,300 miles, an improbability. White Hats continue to say it’s Deep State and that the regime fabricated the Beijing explanation to put restless minds at ease.

Update 2: An object exploded in the sky above Billings late Friday evening. In a follow-up call, a source in Gen. Smith’s office told RRN the regime might have shot it down to keep it from falling into White Hat’s hands. After learning of the balloon’s destruction, Gen. Smith and his council ruminated over the possibility that spying on patriots could’ve been incidental.

“It wouldn’t be above the criminal administration to fill that thing with bioweapons and let it rain down on a State with a seething hatred for Biden. We have no proof of that, but we look at all possibilities. We do know it launched from Fairchild and was loitering at 60,000 over the militia exercise,” our source said.

White Hats have no explanation for why a second balloon has been spotted over Latin America. Source



That Downed Chinese Balloon Wasn’t Exactly For Spying. It Was a ‘Trial’ Balloon

From msn.com

Weather balloonSpy balloon? Nope, and nope. I guess that the Chinese balloonsighted over Montana and Missouri this week – and just shot down off the coast of South Carolina by an F-22 Raptor  – was a trial balloon.

Sure, it may have gathered intelligence about military doings on the surface below, but that was a mere bonus.

If I’m right, Beijing’s chief reason for floating a balloon over North America was to see whether it would elicit a response from the U.S. government and military, as well as from the American people.

And so it did, judging from the subsequent uproar in the press and on social media. Advantage: Xi Jinping & Co.

Now China will use what it learned about American psychology to sharpen its “three warfares” strategy. Three warfares refers to China’s all-consuming effort to shape the political and strategic environment in its favor by deploying legal, media, and psychological means. This is a 24/7/365 endeavor, and it’s in keeping with venerated strategic traditions.

After all, Mao Zedong—the Chinese Communist Party’s founding chairman and military North Star—instructed his disciples that war is politics with bloodshed while politics is war without bloodshed.

In the Maoist worldview, in other words, there is no peacetime. It’s all war, all the time for Communist China.

And getting to know your enemy lays indispensable groundwork for victory. The greats of strategic theory and history—including China’s own Mao and Sun Tzu—constantly hector field commanders and their political masters to acquaint themselves with likely antagonists. But not everything that counts can be counted.

Sizing up a prospective foe accurately demands more than tallying up ships, planes, or tanks, or estimating industrial capacity. It involves fathoming intangibles relating to that foe’s culture and society.

Here’s how the balloon sightings may fit into China’s three-warfares offensive. Suppose you’re Beijing and you want to design strategies and tactics for deterring or coercing the United States, your major opponent. You need to find out how that opponent responds to external stimuli.

So you test its reflexes. You do zany-seeming things like sending lighter-than-air craft into U.S. airspace, in full view of people on the ground. And you gauge their response.

If they overreact to an incursion that poses no direct threat, you’ve learned something. Namely that you can strike a cultural nerve by getting in Americans’ faces. Ordinary folk seem largely indifferent to such worrisome developments as the People’s Liberation Army’s constructing anti-access sensors and weaponry specifically to kill American soldiers, sailors, and aviators in large numbers. Out of sight, out of mind.

But when an unarmed foreign aircraft appears over the North American heartland . . . OMG!

The balloon sightings had strategic import, then. Deterrence or coercion involves threatening something an adversary holds dear, and then convincing the adversary you can and will make good on the threat if its leadership defies you.

Beijing may have come to doubt that it can influence Washington’s strategic behavior by menacing U.S. expeditionary forces in the Western Pacific.

But it might deter, coerce, or even just distract by making mischief in the Western Hemisphere—and by sowing havoc in such a visible way that the man on the street must take heed.

That’s the lesson of the Great Chinese Balloon Blitz of 2023.

So this week’s events have taught, or rather reminded, us of something about Communist China: it is perpetually on the offensive, in wartime and peacetime alike. The episode also taught us something about ourselves and our acute sensitivity to threats to the homeland. One hopes the big brains at places like the White House, Foggy Bottom, and the Pentagon factor that knowledge into their efforts to manage popular sentiment for this age of great-power competition. They can harden American society against China’s three warfares.

Know your opponent; know yourself; and you stand yourself in good stead. Source

But Xi Jinping didn’t have to wait to see the reaction from Joe Biden. He knew that Joe would let the balloon track from Alaska to the East Coast. That’s because they were in it together.

That’s because Biden is the quintessential Manchurian president.


CHINALOON: How Much Intelligence Did That CCP Balloon Gather While Floating Across the U.S.?

From Chron.com

Chinese spy balloon over the US: An aerospace expert explains how the balloons work and what they can see

Officials of the U.S. Department of Defense confirmed on Feb. 2, 2023, that the military was tracking what it called a “spy balloon” that was drifting over the continental United States at an altitude of about 60,000 feet. The following day, Chinese officials acknowledged that the balloon was theirs but denied it was intended for spying or meant to enter U.S. airspace. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that the balloon’s incursion led him to cancel his trip to Beijing. He had been scheduled to meet with Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang on Feb. 5 and 6. On Feb. 3, the Pentagon said that a second suspected Chinese balloon was seen over Latin America.

Monitoring an adversary from a balloon dates back to 1794, when the French used a hot air balloon to track Austrian and Dutch troops in the Battle of Fleurus. We asked aerospace engineer Iain Boyd of the University of Colorado Boulder to explain how spy balloons work and why anyone would use one in the 21st century.

What is a spy balloon?

A spy balloon is literally a gas-filled balloon that is flying quite high in the sky, more or less where we fly commercial airplanes. It has some sophisticated cameras and imaging technology on it, and it’s pointing all of those instruments down at the ground. It’s collecting information through photography and other imaging of whatever is going on down on the ground below it.

Why would someone want to use a spy balloon instead of just using spy satellites?

Satellites are the preferred method of spying from overhead. Spy satellites are above us today, typically at one of two different types of orbit.

The first is called low Earth orbit, and, as the name suggests, those satellites are relatively close to the ground. But they’re still several hundred miles above us. For imaging and taking photographs, the closer you are to something, the more clearly you can see it, and this applies to spying as well. The satellites that are in low Earth orbit have the advantage that they’re closer to the Earth so they’re able to see things more clearly than satellites that are farther away.

The disadvantage these low Earth orbit satellites have is that they are continually moving around the Earth. It takes them about 90 minutes to do one orbit around the Earth. That turns out to be pretty fast in terms of taking clear photographs of what’s going on below.

The second type of satellite orbit is called geosynchronous orbit, and that’s much farther away. It has the disadvantage that it’s harder to see things clearly when you’re very, very far away. But they have the advantage of what we call persistence, allowing satellites to capture images continuously. In those orbits, you’re essentially overlooking the exact same piece of ground on the Earth’s surface all the time because the satellite moves in exactly the same way the earth rotates – it rotates at the exact same speed.

A balloon in some ways gets the best of those. These balloons are much, much closer to the ground than any of the satellites, so they can see even more clearly. And then, of course, balloons are moving, but they’re moving relatively slowly, so they also have a degree of persistence. However, spying is not usually done these days with balloons because they are a relatively easy target and are not completely controllable.

What types of surveillance are spy balloons capable of?

I don’t know what’s on this particular spy balloon, but it’s likely to be different kinds of cameras collecting different types of information.

These days, imaging is conducted across different regions of the electromagnetic spectrum. Humans see in a certain range of this spectrum, the visible spectrum. And so if you have a camera and you take a photograph of your dog, that’s a visible photograph. That’s one of the things spy aircraft do. They take regular photographs, although they have very good zoom capabilities to be able to magnify what they’re seeing quite a lot.

But you can also gather different kinds of information in other parts of the electromagnetic spectrum. Another fairly well-known one is infrared. If it’s nighttime, a camera operating in the visible part of the spectrum is not going to show you anything. It’s all going to be dark. But an infrared camera can pick up things from heat in the dark.

How do these balloons navigate?

Most of these balloons literally go where the wind blows. There can be a little bit of navigation, but there are certainly not people aboard them. They are at the mercy of whatever the weather is. They sometimes have guiding apparatus on them that change a balloon’s altitude to catch winds going in particular directions. But it’s pretty much wherever the wind’s blowing, that’s where you’re going.

There are machine learning-types of approaches that would seek to optimize your path, so that if you’re trying to get from A to B, you can get closer. But if the prevailing winds are just going completely in the opposite direction to where you want to go, there’s really no way to get there with a balloon.

What are the limits to a nation’s airspace? At what altitude does it become space and anybody’s right to be there?

There is an internationally accepted boundary called the Kármán Line at 62 miles (100 kilometers) altitude. This balloon is well below that, so it is absolutely, definitely in U.S. airspace.

Which countries are known to be using spy balloons?

The Pentagon has had programs over the last few decades studying balloons, different aspects of what can be done with balloons that couldn’t be in the past. Maybe they’re bigger, maybe they can go higher in the atmosphere so they’re more difficult to shoot down or disable. Maybe they could be more persistent. But I’m not aware of any countries actively using spy balloons these days. There have been unconfirmed reports of potential spy balloons in Asia that have been attributed to China.

The U.S. flew many balloons over the Soviet Union in the 1940s and 1950s, and those were eventually replaced by the high-altitude spy airplanes, the U-2s, and they were subsequently replaced by satellites.

I’m sure a number of countries around the world have periodically gone back to reevaluate: Are there other things we could do now with balloons that we couldn’t do before? Do they close some gaps we have from satellites and airplanes?

What does that say about the nature of this balloon, which China confirmed is theirs?

China has complained for many years about the U.S. spying on China through satellites, through ships. And China is also well known for engaging in somewhat provocative behavior, like in the South China Sea, sailing close to other nations’ boundaries and saber-rattling. I think it falls into that category.

The balloon doesn’t pose any real threat to the U.S. I think sometimes China is just experimenting to see how far they can push things. This isn’t really very advanced technology. It’s not serving any real military purpose. I think it’s much more likely some kind of political message. Source